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Masters of misdirection

Published 11 April 2004 in The Denver Post.
Copyright ©2004 by Ed Quillen. All rights reserved.

Since everyone else was focused on the testimony of Dr. Condeleeza Rice, the president's national security adviser, before the National Commission on Terrorist Attacks Upon the United States, I knew I should check with an obscure organization, the Committee That Really Runs America.

With some difficulty -- our phones aren't working well because it's been raining off and on for a week, and nothing in Salida is built to accommodate the improbable event of water falling out of the sky -- I reached Ananias Ziegler, the retired Air Force lieutenant colonel who handles media relations for the Committee.

I bet you're going to ask me if the Committee had any foreknowledge of the 9-11 attacks, he said after we exchanged pleasantries.

I told him to consider that question asked.

As you might have guessed, Quillen, we have access to all the American civil and military intelligence networks, as well as our own sources, he said. And the truth is, we did have some indications that terrorists planned to hijack airliners and fly them into buildings in Washington and New York.

Then why didn't they act on that intelligence?

He parried my question with one of his own. You're in the news business, Quillen. Don't you get story tips?

Indeed I do, from time to time.

And do you pursue all of them?

Of course not. If I just jumped on each one, I'd never get anything done. I have to judge them by immediacy, probability, that sort of thing.

Believe it or not, it's the same here, Ziegler explained. There are thousands of hints and tips and possibilities, and nobody has the resources to act on them all. Besides, at least 99 percent of them are bogus, just rumors and hearsay.

I asked for some examples.

Sure. At the start of every year, we find a crescendo of chatter -- emails, cell-phone conversations, land-line connections, people meeting -- that indicates an act against Glen Canyon Dam in Arizona. It peaks on Jan. 29, Edward Abbey's birthday. Then it fades away for another 11 months. We know it's just talk and wishful thinking, so we pretty much ignore it. If we paid attention to that, we might miss a real threat.

And other examples?

On the loony-tunes side, some thread-count fanatics were talking about taking the federal courthouse in Manhattan during the Martha Stewart trial. More seriously, every American embassy from Ottawa to Ulan Bator is the subject of threats that range from kidnappings to car bombs. Reports of suspicious activities range from possible tampering with an irrigation-ditch headgate in your rural county to potential locations for fissile material that might be missing from the former Soviet Union.

That's a lot to worry about, I agreed.

It is. Now in hindsight, it might be pretty easy to connect the dots of Saudis taking flight lessons in Minnesota and Arizona, and talk of attacks on American buildings. But in real time, you don't even know if they're really dots, let alone whether they're connected.

He had a point, although I really didn't want to concede it. Before I could say anything, he continued.

Let's assume that on Sept. 10, 2001, you had received a signed telegram from Osama bin Laden, telling you exactly what was going to happen. What would you have done?

I wasn't in a position to do anything, but if I had been -- well, for starters, I wouldn't have believed the telegram. It would have sounded utterly preposterous, so incredible that I would have figured it was a canard, and focused on some other threat that seemed more probable.

Exactly, Ziegler said. And if the federal government had temporarily grounded all air traffic starting Sept. 10, 2001, on the grounds of preventing an attack, you would have been the first one to whine about over-reaction to a most improbable threat, right?

Actually, I had enjoyed the quiet skies after Sept. 11, and I seldom fly, so I wouldn't have been anywhere near the first to complain. But I saw his point. So if it's exceedingly unlikely that any administration could have done anything to prevent the attacks, then why bother with these hearings now?

You know how we work, Quillen. It's what stage magicians call 'misdirection.' If everybody's watching Condi at the Commission, then Fallujah and Ramadi don't make the news. And that's to the benefit of the Committee. Then he hung up.


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